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Understanding the Bitcoin Halving

A deep dive into Bitcoin's halving mechanism, its impact on inflation, and why it matters for the long-term value proposition of the world's first cryptocurrency.

SimLab Team
•Monday, January 12, 2026•4 min read

Every four years, something remarkable happens in the Bitcoin network: the halving. This programmed event cuts the rate at which new bitcoins are created in half, making it one of the most significant events in the cryptocurrency calendar.

What Is the Halving?

The Bitcoin halving (sometimes called "halvening") is a scheduled reduction in the block reward—the number of new bitcoins miners receive for adding a new block to the blockchain. This happens approximately every 210,000 blocks, or roughly every 4 years.

The Numbers

When Bitcoin launched in 2009, miners received 50 BTC per block. After four halvings, the current reward is just 3.125 BTC per block.

Historical Halvings

HalvingDateBlock HeightBlock Reward
GenesisJan 2009050 BTC
1stNov 2012210,00025 BTC
2ndJul 2016420,00012.5 BTC
3rdMay 2020630,0006.25 BTC
4thApr 2024840,0003.125 BTC

Why Does the Halving Matter?

The halving is central to Bitcoin's value proposition as "digital gold." Here's why:

1. Controlled Supply

Unlike fiat currencies that can be printed indefinitely, Bitcoin has a hard cap of 21 million coins. The halving ensures this supply is released gradually over ~140 years, with the last bitcoin expected to be mined around 2140.

2. Decreasing Inflation

Each halving dramatically reduces Bitcoin's inflation rate. Watch how the inflation rate drops at each halving event in the simulation below:

Bitcoin Inflation Over Time

Inflation: 0.83%
50 BTC
Open Full Simulation

Try adjusting the block reward slider to see how different initial rewards would have affected Bitcoin's inflation curve.

3. Stock-to-Flow Dynamics

The halving affects Bitcoin's stock-to-flow ratio—a metric that compares existing supply (stock) to new production (flow). After each halving, this ratio doubles, theoretically increasing scarcity.

Try It Yourself

Open the full simulation to experiment with different halving intervals and block rewards. What happens if halvings occurred every 100,000 blocks instead of 210,000?

The Math Behind the Halving

The block reward at any given block height h follows this formula:

reward(h) = initial_reward / 2^(floor(h / halving_interval))

For Bitcoin's parameters:

  • Initial reward: 50 BTC
  • Halving interval: 210,000 blocks

At block 840,000 (the 4th halving):

reward(840000) = 50 / 2^(floor(840000 / 210000))
               = 50 / 2^4
               = 50 / 16
               = 3.125 BTC

Common Misconceptions

Myth Busting

"The halving will crash Bitcoin's price" — While miner economics change, historical data shows halvings have typically preceded bull markets, not crashes.

Does the Halving Affect Transaction Fees?

Not directly. Transaction fees are determined by network demand, not the block reward. However, as block rewards diminish, fees are expected to become a larger portion of miner revenue.

When Will All Bitcoins Be Mined?

The last bitcoin will be mined around the year 2140. After this, miners will rely entirely on transaction fees for revenue.

What's Next?

The 5th halving is expected in 2028, reducing the block reward to just 1.5625 BTC. By then, over 99% of all bitcoins will have already been mined.

Understanding the halving is fundamental to understanding Bitcoin's monetary policy. Unlike central banks that make discretionary decisions about money supply, Bitcoin's issuance schedule is:

  • Predetermined — known in advance
  • Immutable — cannot be changed
  • Verifiable — visible on the blockchain

This transparency and predictability is what makes Bitcoin unique among monetary systems.


Want to explore more? Try out the Bitcoin Inflation Visualizer to see exactly how supply and inflation evolve over time.

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